Author Topic: Playoff odds  (Read 4253 times)

qwerty

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 245
    • View Profile
Playoff odds
« on: April 26, 2010, 09:35:43 AM »
Bet 365 have installed us as favourites to win the playoffs and I agree. After not backing us to win the league and then thinking I'd made a mistake I think the time could be right to win some holiday money.

Boston Utd 11/8
Bradford P A 7/4
North Ferriby Utd 5/1
Kendal Town 11/2

After a one off to be forgot about Saturday I think we will well and truly stamp our authority on the second promotion place tomorrow night. I expect the incentive to win tomorrow will be that much bigger because by then we will then know that KENDAL are to be the visitors on Saturday.

qwerty

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 245
    • View Profile
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2010, 09:54:10 AM »
To win promotion Bet 365 go:

Bradford 4/5
Boston 10/11

I felt we were a bit unlucky last night not to end up with a more convincing winning margin. I don't think 4-0 would have flattered us but in the end we were hanging on.

Game on Saturday, I predict we win it in extra time after a very close 0-0 or 1-1 90 mins result.


Bob Lee

  • Guest
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2010, 04:13:38 PM »
Those odds do not equate to the first odds posted.  Surely taking into account odds of both teams beaten, we should still be slight favourites.  Unless you have lumped on Boston ;)

The original odds are the mean ones. >:(
« Last Edit: April 28, 2010, 04:32:11 PM by Bob Lee »

qwerty

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 245
    • View Profile
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2010, 04:40:43 PM »
The odds are correct.

If Kendal had beaten Bradford, which I was expecting we would now be 1/3 on with Kendal 2/1 against.

If ferriby had beaten us Bradford would be 1/3 on with Ferriby 2/1 against.

Fairfax

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 356
    • View Profile
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2010, 07:32:27 PM »
11 to 10 on is slightly better than 5 to 4 on (12 1/2 to 10 on), making us slight favourites.

qwerty

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 245
    • View Profile
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2010, 07:58:20 PM »
11 to 10 on is slightly better than 5 to 4 on (12 1/2 to 10 on), making us slight favourites.

4/5 is 55%
10/11 is 52%

Total book 107%

4/5 is 3% 'shorter' than 10/11 so is 'favourite'. We are the underdogs.

Just stop worrying and get your money on  ;)

Bob Lee

  • Guest
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2010, 09:34:51 PM »
Over round 107% not much profit there then :-\

Fairfax

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 356
    • View Profile
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2010, 09:49:28 PM »
Hi Qwerty!. Senior moment I think. I shall now take a XXXB and retire.

qwerty

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 245
    • View Profile
Re: Playoff odds
« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2010, 11:57:47 PM »
Game on Saturday, I predict we win it in extra time after a very close 0-0 or 1-1 90 mins result.

QWERTY Knows u know :bunny