Pilgrims' Patter

The Forum => The B-Ark => Topic started by: woad_pilgrim on December 28, 2011, 10:51:14 PM

Title: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on December 28, 2011, 10:51:14 PM
There's been a lot of conjecture regarding the difficulty of the last 2 months of the season and people basing our final league position on that. So how brave are we all feeling, I am going to nail my colours to the mast and predict that we will gain another 42 pts from our remaining 20 matches  :o

That'd give us 73 which would have been enough for the play-offs for the last 2 seasons. Anybody else brave enough to have a go? Just for a bit of fun and we can revisit at regular intervals  :D

Edit:

Predicted results:

Jan                                           Feb                                     March                                April

Eastwood (A) - W                    Hinckley (A) - W                 Worcester (A) - L               Harrogate (H) - W
Blyth (H) - W                          Colwyn (A) - D                   Stalybridge (H) - W             Halifax (A) - D
Stortford (H) - W                    Worcester (H) - W               Altrincham (H) - D              Trinity (H) - W
Nuneaton (H) - W                    Vauxhall (A) - W                 Droylsden (A) - W               Hyde (A) - L
Corby (A) - D                         Gloucester (H) - D               Gloucester (A) - W              Guiseley (H) - D
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: kingofnaves on December 28, 2011, 11:17:17 PM
63
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: chris b on December 28, 2011, 11:41:14 PM
W W W D D 11
W L D D D 6
L L L L D 1
W L D L D 5

= 23

23 + 31 = 54
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: beefpilgrim on December 29, 2011, 08:50:47 AM
56 points
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Mickey Nuttells Hair on December 29, 2011, 10:23:55 AM
Predicted results:

Jan                                           Feb                                     March                                April

Eastwood (A) - W                    Hinckley (A) - W                 Worcester (A) - L               Harrogate (H) - W
Blyth (H) - W                          Colwyn (A) - L                   Stalybridge (H) - L             Halifax (A) - L
Stortford (H) - W                    Worcester (H) - L               Altrincham (H) - L              Trinity (H) - D
Nuneaton (H) - L                    Vauxhall (A) - D                 Droylsden (A) - D               Hyde (A) - L
Corby (A) - D                         Gloucester (H) - W               Gloucester (A) - D              Guiseley (H) - D

24 added to the current 31 = 55

If the title of the post is reflected in the content included then saying we will only lose twice more this season is frankly deluded.

In the 50's is realistic, in the 60's is optimistic but getting a total in the 70's is just not predictable unless there is a massive upturn (and I don't just mean in the next few games against the gimmie's).

Don't get me wrong this season is not a failure in my eyes, especially given the Trophy situation currently, as long as we make progress with the off field stability of finances.  Next season however there will be a much greater expectation in my view as to what is 'success' given the seasons experience for the management team.

 
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Bartmac on December 29, 2011, 10:48:02 AM
I reckon about 54, but hopefully a lot better next season.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Sussex Pilgrim on December 29, 2011, 10:55:00 AM
Jan                                           Feb                                     March                                April

Eastwood (A) - W                     Hinckley (A) - W                 Worcester (A) - L               Harrogate (H) - W
Blyth (H) - W                          Colwyn (A) - L                   Stalybridge (H) - D              Halifax (A) - L
Stortford (H) - W                    Worcester (H) - D               Altrincham (H) - D              Trinity (H) - L
Nuneaton (H) - D                    Vauxhall (A) - W                 Droylsden (A) - D               Hyde (A) - L
Corby (A) - L                          Gloucester (H) - D               Gloucester (A) - L              Guiseley (H) - L


Therefore 24 as well but would need a strong March compensating for a crap ending to the season to give 55
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on December 29, 2011, 03:02:15 PM
If the title of the post is reflected in the content included then saying we will only lose twice more this season is frankly deluded.
What's realistic to some (me) may look deluded to others. But isn't that the same with everything, our views on players etc. I think the 3 people who have predicted so far are very negative only going for wins over the bottom 7 sides, with us drawing or mainly losing against everyone else. So I guess you all think we are a bottom 7 side then  ???
getting a total in the 70's is just not predictable unless there is a massive upturn
Surely you've contradicted yourself, I always thought predictions where based on future events not on past events.

Take a look at this post on the conf north forum on the 30th Jan 2010:

http://www.nonleagueforum.co.uk/viewtopic.php?pid=318119#p318119 (http://www.nonleagueforum.co.uk/viewtopic.php?pid=318119#p318119)

So at the time I wrote that Eastwood where 21 points off the final play-off place with 3 in hand, their record at that time was won 7 drawn 1 lost 11.

They then went on to win 15 draw 6 and lose 1. I think you'd have called me deluded back then as well  ;)

Everyone's entitled to their own opinion but since we lost with a wimper to Solihull IMO there's been a change in the team and I think second half of the season will reflect that...
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Senny on December 29, 2011, 07:19:15 PM
Blimey, you really are taking this seriously. You refer to a forum post (and even remember it) from almost two years ago???

Having seen the sh*t I have seen this season, only two more losses is faintly, faintly, faintly ridiculous.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 29, 2011, 07:52:55 PM


Having seen the sh*t I have seen this season, only two more losses is faintly, faintly, faintly ridiculous.

So its not just me that thinks we've been awful for the majority of the season at home?

Of the home games played so far the only ones to offer anything like entertainment and value for money were the Droylsden and Hyde games.

Cant comment on away games.

Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on December 29, 2011, 08:20:41 PM
Blimey, you really are taking this seriously. You refer to a forum post (and even remember it) from almost two years ago???

Having seen the sh*t I have seen this season, only two more losses is faintly, faintly, faintly ridiculous.
My mistake it was Jan 2011 so a year ago. Maybe I am being overly-optimistic but everyone else seems to have a melancholic view of the rest of the season. So no not taking it serious just trying to offer an alternative to our impending relegation battle according to most who've commented on this thread  :-\

Edit: I remembered I said something about Eastwood being the team to watch on that forum. It took me a couple of minutes to find it, IT really isn't difficult  ;)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 29, 2011, 08:41:35 PM
Well I think you have a fair point WP and we have to be positive. I always like your courage because you don't just run BUFC down. You frequently offer an option of a nature that encourages and pushes the squad to win. I don't think you're too far out, so I'll go positive and predict today the following.


Jan                                           Feb                                     March                                April

Eastwood (A) - W                    Hinckley (A) - W                 Worcester (A) - L               Harrogate (H) - W
Blyth (H) - W                          Colwyn (A) - D                   Stalybridge (H) - L             Halifax (A) - D
Stortford (H) - W                    Worcester (H) - D               Altrincham (H) - D              Trinity (H) - W
Nuneaton (H) - W                    Vauxhall (A) - W                 Droylsden (A) - W               Hyde (A) - D
Corby (A) - D                         Gloucester (H) - D               Gloucester (A) - W              Guiseley (H) - D

 Prove me wrong!  ;)

Oh, and as a fully paid up member of the Trust I hope a good group of folk get it going once more.

Happy New Year  :snowman
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Mickey Nuttells Hair on December 29, 2011, 09:29:39 PM
So really WP the title of the post should be Optomistic Points Total.

And by the way a prediction is obviously based on prior events, otherwise it's just a blind guess!

So far it's mid-50s for most.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Ed Kandi on December 29, 2011, 09:36:33 PM
I don't think it would be too difficult to remember a prediction like WP!
Maybe the following prediction will be equally memorable for being overly optimistic  :dan

Eastwood W     
Blyth W
Bishops  W
Nuneaton D
Corby  L

Hinckley  W
Colwyn Bay  D
Worcester   D
Vauxhall     W
Gloucester   W

Worcester   W
Stalybridge   W
Alty   L
Droylsden   D
Gloucester   D

Harrogate   W
Halifax   L
Gainsborough    W
Hyde   W
Guiseley   W

Might even make the play-offs!  :xmashat
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on December 30, 2011, 10:23:19 AM
So really WP the title of the post should be Optomistic Points Total.
Not really. It was an invitation for people to post their own realistic points totals. You and I have done that as have some others. It's not that difficult a concept to grasp. It wasn't an invitation for people to be rude though (calling someone deluded is if you're struggling to work it out). It's optimistic by the way  ;)
And by the way a prediction is obviously based on prior events, otherwise it's just a blind guess!
So in your world Hyde have already won the title, we are mid-table and Blyth, Eastwood and Hinckley are already relegated? We might as well not bother playing the next 20 games then. Predictions are based on more than just what's gone before, how the team are currently playing is a good indication. Obviously I'm seeing something different to you in the team because I think we've improved 10-fold on the team that started the season.

So maybe there's a storm coming  ;)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Fish (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Fish)
So far it's mid-50s for most.
So beating only the bottom 7, gaining mid 50's which would probably put us bottom 7 and defo in a relegation battle at some point. Do you see us as a bottom 7 side, a simple yes or no please.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 30, 2011, 02:05:45 PM


So beating only the bottom 7, gaining mid 50's which would probably put us bottom 7 and defo in a relegation battle at some point. Do you see us as a bottom 7 side, a simple yes or no please.

Certainly don't see us anywhere even close to the play offs, in fact I don't even see a top half finish.......however 9 points out of the next 3 games takes us to 40 points and that should banish any threat of relegation. We'll probably finish somewhere between 11th and 16th which is pathetic really and gives me no confidence for any significant improvement next season. As Adam says perhaps we should judge the managers next season......I'm afraid my mind was made up last summer with some of the appalling signings and I've no confidence that they can build a side to make a play off push, let alone challenge for the title as we should be doing.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: doc on December 30, 2011, 02:21:19 PM
bah humbug.
starting to look good IMO- def will be at least challenging for a play off place if we can build on last few performances- the negativity of some people astounds me.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 30, 2011, 03:08:52 PM
Call it negativity......I call it realism.

Fact is we've not had a settled side all season, we've struggled to both score goals and keep clean sheets and we've a terrible record against the top sides, all of whom we still have to play.

Lower mid table for me, the next few games against the bottom feeders are no indicator.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Ben Grant on December 30, 2011, 03:22:19 PM
Ok, since its really quiet at work..

Eastwood (A)    - W Hinckley (A)     - D Worcester (A)     - L Harrogate (H) - W
Blyth (H)                    - W Colwyn (A)    - D Stalybridge (H)    - L Halifax (A) - L
Stortford (H)    - W Worcester (H)    - L Altrincham (H)    - D Trinity (H) - W
Nuneaton (H)    - D Vauxhall (A)    - W Droylsden (A)    - W Hyde (A) - L
Corby (A)                    - L Gloucester (H)    - D Gloucester (A)    - D Guiseley (H) – D

26 added to the 31 = 57 points

I’ve not seen many games this season, a glut at the start of the season and then a few recent games including Gainsboro, Guiseley, Stalybridge and Eastwood. In those latter games I have noticed an improvement in the quality of football we are playing although we are prone to mistakes that a side better than Eastwood would punish us for. Still think we’re some way short of a play off -making  side but the players we have now do have potential. Like Woad Pilgrim I think we will see a change in the second half of the season, but not as much of a change.. We are certainly not a bottom 7 side!
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Keynsham Pilgrim on December 30, 2011, 06:20:50 PM
I can forsee the following:

Eastwood (A)    - W      Hinckley (A)     - D    Worcester (A)     - L       Harrogate (H) - W
Blyth (H)           - W       Colwyn (A)      - L    Stalybridge (H)    - L       Halifax (A) - L
Stortford (H)     - W       Worcester (H) - D     Altrincham (H)    - D      Trinity (H) - D
Nuneaton (H)    - L        Vauxhall (A)    - D    Droylsden (A)       - L      Hyde (A) - L
Corby (A)           - L        Gloucester (H) - W    Gloucester (A)    - D      Guiseley (H) – L

This gives us 21 points added to the 31 gives us 52.

As nortyfourties said, this will be lower half but enough of a buffer in Feb to avoid relegation worries.

We do still look a bit rocky at the back, pretty in midfield but a bit light and not enough up front unless Constantine can change this and Newsham starts to fire again.  We have a poor record against  the top sides this season (not stuffings noted and Hyde in the trophy) but mid table is not great looking at what TT did in about 5 mins before the 07/08 season with an 8th place finish.

It does appear they are learning however so i do have hope for next year
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Pilgrim86 on December 30, 2011, 06:30:00 PM
Call it negativity......I call it realism.
You call it realism, because you're a pessimist.

It'll be interesting to revisit this thread at the end of the season, when IMO we'll have just missed out on the Play Offs - probably due to a difficult last 4 games.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 30, 2011, 07:22:33 PM
Lets make it a 'sticky' then Ken.......I'll stand by what I say and predict we'll be a minimum 8 points outside the play offs.

Realist Scott, not pessimist.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 30, 2011, 07:30:12 PM
Lets make it a 'sticky' then Ken.......I'll stand by what I say and predict we'll be a minimum 8 points outside the play offs.

Realist Scott, not pessimist.



C'mon N 40 you have to put up a results table like the rest, no get out clause then. :rudolph

 we can all stand  or fall by the numbers.  :bunny

 What? No courage?  ;)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Pilgrim86 on December 30, 2011, 07:47:04 PM
Realist Scott, not pessimist.
A realist will see that we have been average this season, nothing more or nothing less. We've received one thrashing (as have Manchester United!), and won a few games comfortably (Histon, Trinity for example).

Were you expecting us to walk the league, having lost the spine of the squad in the summer (through no fault of the managers)?
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 30, 2011, 08:51:34 PM
I was expecting much better than what we've had so far.......

No sorry,I was expecting much better than what we've had so far.......but I expected this mediocrity when I saw who we'd signed in the summer.

Walk the league? No

Challenge for promotion be it as champions or via the play offs? I think thats a minimum requirement at Boston Utd.

To be thrashing around in mid table is NOT acceptable.

It would have been last season after promotion but after last season's efforts the basis of a very capable side were in place. Sadly the good work and momentum of the last 2 seasons has been lost in a welter of poor signings.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 30, 2011, 09:03:43 PM
C'mon N40 you can do it in specific terms. Post the prediction fully. Be brave! ;)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 30, 2011, 09:55:30 PM
C'mon  ;)
Ah ....... Ok past my bedtime, goodnight  :)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Tipps End Pilgrim on December 30, 2011, 09:58:52 PM
N40 - we no longer have a right to be challenging for promotion or be in the main Conference. Things have moved on since we were last there and the town no longer seems to have the desire to support the Club as perhaps it once did.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 30, 2011, 10:42:13 PM
DL, I think the town is wary of supporting the club in the wake of the fiasco with Evans coming back and businesses being shafted left,right and centre.I think the desire is there, but it'll be tempered with a very heavy dose of caution.

However, the turnout v Guisley for the play off and an average gate of around 1400 last season tells me there's still an enormous amount of goodwill and support for the club out there...... realistically we should pull 17-1800 average in the BSBP, of course that would be small beer to clubs like Luton,Wrexham and Cambridge but even operating on a part time basis I see no reason why we couldn't hold our own like Tamworth,Southport,FGR,Hayes or Gateshead, all clubs IMHO smaller than ourselves.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Tipps End Pilgrim on December 30, 2011, 10:54:44 PM
N40 - Fair points. Any Club will always get the numbers through the gates when the big games come to town. I worry more about the run of the mill games. Sky Sports seems to be winning and small Clubs like Boston (in a geographical backwater) suffer more than most. Also, with a boom in foreigners to the county, how many of these actually come to games ?

Anyway, back on topic, We will get 69 points. No idea why. I just like the number.

DL
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: wez33 on December 30, 2011, 11:15:36 PM
N40 - Fair points. Any Club will always get the numbers through the gates when the big games come to town. I worry more about the run of the mill games. Sky Sports seems to be winning and small Clubs like Boston (in a geographical backwater) suffer more than most. Also, with a boom in foreigners to the county, how many of these actually come to games ?

Anyway, back on topic, We will get 69 points. No idea why. I just like the number.

DL
imo there needs to be more advertisement around the town and surrounding areas if we are to attract a large amount of new support like the foriegn nationals etc,  i dont know the financial costs of this but if it could be benificial then i believe it would be a good idea
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 31, 2011, 11:49:46 AM
You can argue the pros and cons of the club being more pro active in the community until you are blue in the face, the fact of the matter is a winning team will always draw the punters in no matter what league we are in.......2 years ago we averaged around 1300 in the NPL but that was on the back of a side on the up, we'll do well to match that this season a league higher simply because we're so bloody hit and miss....

Economics play as big a part in the attendance as anything though, and sadly football at all levels has started to become a very expensive day out, for the £20ish it costs an adult and child to come and stand on the terraces that money would see a family of 4 at the cinema.....or a good takeaway meal with drinks.....or a night in the pub. Football has to realize its supporters are not the captive audience they were 15-20 years ago, times have moved on and even in a backwater like Boston there are plenty of entertainment options other than the football club.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: wayne, york pilgrim on December 31, 2011, 11:59:07 AM
eastwood  D,   blyth   W,   b,stortford   D,   nuuny   L,   corby  D   =6
hinkley  W,   colwyn   L,   worcester  D,   vauxhall   L,   gloucester,   W   =7
worcester   D,  staly  L,  alty  D,   droylsden  W,   gloucester  D   =6
harrogate  W,  halifax  D,   gainsborough   W,   hyde   L,   guiseley  L  =7

26 out of 45=average=mid table  


i do think this would be the worst we will do. with more improvement we could get another 6-9 pts and finish about 7th with around 65pts
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 31, 2011, 12:26:21 PM
C'mon N40  ;)  post the full predictions  :)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Bostonshire on December 31, 2011, 02:16:41 PM
You can argue the pros and cons of the club being more pro active in the community until you are blue in the face, the fact of the matter is a winning team will always draw the punters in no matter what league we are in.......2 years ago we averaged around 1300 in the NPL but that was on the back of a side on the up, we'll do well to match that this season a league higher simply because we're so bloody hit and miss....

Economics play as big a part in the attendance as anything though, and sadly football at all levels has started to become a very expensive day out, for the £20ish it costs an adult and child to come and stand on the terraces that money would see a family of 4 at the cinema.....or a good takeaway meal with drinks.....or a night in the pub. Football has to realize its supporters are not the captive audience they were 15-20 years ago, times have moved on and even in a backwater like Boston there are plenty of entertainment options other than the football club.

Night in The pub...............£20.00 Bloody hell You found a cheap drinking place, 2 Hours in the pub for me cost 30+ on my own.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 31, 2011, 02:58:03 PM
2 of us, 4 pints each, about £20.

To me, going to the pub doesn't involve getting a gallon down my neck and not remembering anything about the night before the morning after!
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Keynsham Pilgrim on December 31, 2011, 03:30:34 PM
Still N40 getting 8 pints for 20 quid is very good these days.

I'd struggle to get that for 30 quid down in Cardiff
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: John C on December 31, 2011, 03:56:23 PM
Drew, you need to move to Sheffield! My local has a decent pint (Farmers Blonde) for £2. Last time I went to the Bradfield brewery tap it was £1.70.

In the middle of Sheffield you'd be paying more admittedly...
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on December 31, 2011, 05:16:14 PM
Batemans was about £2.50 in The Carps the other night, not been out for ages......was shocked to be charged £7 for 2 bottles of gassy lager in The White Hart mind!
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Adam on December 31, 2011, 05:26:01 PM
Ship Tavern, XB £2.20 a pint. Sorted.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Bostonshire on December 31, 2011, 05:45:32 PM
2 of us, 4 pints each, about £20.

To me, going to the pub doesn't involve getting a gallon down my neck and not remembering anything about the night before the morning after!


I Only picked on it becouse you said a night wich to most of us would be 7 till 11-12 at5-6 pints.

6 pints at say 2.50 is 15 add that twice is 30

Thats all.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Ken Fox on December 31, 2011, 06:18:55 PM
Think I might have to change the title of this topic to "Realistic Pints Total"!  ;D

Happy New Year everyone. Hope it's a good un'.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: dt woodhall on December 31, 2011, 06:22:06 PM
happy new year to everybody eeven the happy clappers.

I like to think I am optimistic, but some of these estimates are sky high.

Lets review at the year end and I will be the first to say well done everybody if we do really well.

Cant see it with this team and these managers.

My best estimate  is  between 55 to 61.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 31, 2011, 07:17:56 PM
Think I might have to change the title of this topic to "Realistic Pints Total"!  ;D

Happy New Year everyone. Hope it's a good un'.




You are right Ken, some can't stick to the topic, answer the question or have an old axe to grind  :) No change there then! ;)   Mind that's the trouble with having a chip the size of a small country on their shoulder!
Ah well, Happy New Year to all you decent positive and progressive folk able to look forward and move onwards  :)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: kingofnaves on December 31, 2011, 08:29:44 PM
Happy New Year myleftfoot
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 31, 2011, 08:50:35 PM
I'm hoping we get all we deserve KON  :)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: kingofnaves on December 31, 2011, 08:53:25 PM
A new ground and a playoff place will do me. Just have faith in JL,LC and FC !
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Ed Kandi on December 31, 2011, 08:55:07 PM
Think I might have to change the title of this topic to "Realistic Pints Total"!  ;D

Happy New Year everyone. Hope it's a good un'.

Just off out to maximise my pints total for 2011  :xmashat
Happy New Year everybody! :rudolph
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 31, 2011, 09:08:56 PM
A new ground and a playoff place will do me. Just have faith in JL,LC and FC !



I love the way you and N40 are the bipolar persona x  ;)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: kingofnaves on December 31, 2011, 09:39:59 PM
Only positive posting from now on and 2012
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on December 31, 2011, 10:26:19 PM
Only positive posting from now on and 2012




Exactly, see above you freak!  :D
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: John C on January 01, 2012, 10:51:29 AM
I'll go for 62 points. I can't show my working because I haven't done any, my answer is just based on the idea that we've a better team now than earlier in the season but have more difficult fixtures to come. This will lead to us getting roughly the same number of points in the second half of the season as in the first.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Ed Kandi on January 01, 2012, 07:52:30 PM
After the first game of the new RPT season the table is:-


   Predictionist                             Points Total

wayne, york pilgrim                                3
woad_pilgrim                                         0
chris b                                                 0
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               0
Sussex Pilgrim                                       0
myleftfoot                                            0
Ed Kandi                                              0
Ben Grant                                             0
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        0

A low scoring start, but its still all to play for   :dan
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on January 01, 2012, 08:55:40 PM
Good stuff Ed. Shame some of the proper misery brigade didn't cough up with some proper, detailed predictions!  ;)
I can, should the need arise deal with a poor showing.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: wayne, york pilgrim on January 01, 2012, 09:22:22 PM
After the first game of the new RPT season the table is:-


   Predictionist                             Points Total

wayne, york pilgrim                                3
woad_pilgrim                                         0
chris b                                                 0
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               0
Sussex Pilgrim                                       0
myleftfoot                                            0
Ed Kandi                                              0
Ben Grant                                             0
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        0

A low scoring start, but its still all to play for   :dan


i wish i was wrong and everyone else was right
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on January 02, 2012, 08:22:14 PM
After the first game of the new RPT season the table is:-


   Predictionist                             Points Total

wayne, york pilgrim                                3
woad_pilgrim                                         0
chris b                                                 0
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               0
Sussex Pilgrim                                       0
myleftfoot                                            0
Ed Kandi                                              0
Ben Grant                                             0
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        0

A low scoring start, but its still all to play for   :dan
How about:

   Predictionist                             Points differential           Predicted total               Prediction - difference

wayne, york pilgrim                                  -2                                  57(11th)                             55(12th)                                  
woad_pilgrim                                         -4                                  73(7th)                               69(7th)
chris b                                                 -4                                  54(12th)                              50(14th)
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               -4                                  55(12th)                              51(13th)
Sussex Pilgrim                                       -4                                  55(12th)                              51(13th)
myleftfoot                                            -4                                  69(7th)                                65(8th)
Ed Kandi                                              -4                                  72(7th)                               68(7th)  
Ben Grant                                             -4                                 57(11th)                              53(12th)
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        -4                                 52(13th)                              48(17th)

Points only predictions:

King Of Knaves 63(8th)
Beef Pilgrim 56(12th)
Bartmac 54(12th)
Noughty Forties -8 off last play-off place (69 on last season - 7th)
DT Woodhall 55-61(9th-12th)
John Chapman 62(9th)

Placing in brackets are based on last season. Here are last years placings and points. I have averaged the points per game and multiplied by 2 and added to the total to get a 42 game total(rounding up to the nearest point) e.g. 1st Alfreton 92 + 4.6 = 96.6 rounded up to 97

1st 97
2nd 87
3rd 83
4th 77
5th 77
6th 76
7th 68
8th 63
9th 61
10th 60
11th 57
12th 53
13th 52
14th 50
15th 49
16th 49
17th 48
18th 44
19th 38
20th 34
21st 10
22nd N/A
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Ed Kandi on January 02, 2012, 11:29:49 PM
Superb stuff woad_   ;D
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: green hats mate on January 03, 2012, 01:54:53 PM
I think you must have had a calculator given to you for xmas WP .
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on January 08, 2012, 09:32:15 AM
Updated
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Mickey Nuttells Hair on January 08, 2012, 09:42:28 AM
Looking like I WAS being optimistic with my picks!  Unfortunately.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on January 08, 2012, 09:57:32 AM
Looking like I WAS being optimistic with my picks!  Unfortunately.
Looking like we all where!! So much for those gimme's.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: noughtyforties on January 08, 2012, 10:00:30 AM
Thats why I made a low prediction, I've no confidence in the current team or management, and as DT Woodhall keeps saying, those last 10 games look very tricky.....the sooner we get 40 odd points on the board the better.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Myleftfoot on January 08, 2012, 10:30:49 AM
The soothsayer cometh!  ;)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on January 12, 2012, 11:38:52 PM
After the first game of the new RPT season the table is:-


   Predictionist                             Points Total

wayne, york pilgrim                                3
woad_pilgrim                                         0
chris b                                                 0
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               0
Sussex Pilgrim                                       0
myleftfoot                                            0
Ed Kandi                                              0
Ben Grant                                             0
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        0

A low scoring start, but its still all to play for   :dan
Updated and reposted to put it on the current page  :)

How about:

   Predictionist                             Points differential           Predicted total               Prediction - difference

wayne, york pilgrim                                 +2                                  57(11th)                             59(11th)                                  
woad_pilgrim                                         -9                                  73(7th)                               64(8th)
chris b                                                 +3                                  54(12th)                              57(11th)
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               +1                                  55(12th)                              56(12th)
Sussex Pilgrim                                        -1                                  55(12th)                              54(12th)
myleftfoot                                            -6                                  69(7th)                                63(8th)
Ed Kandi                                              -8                                  72(7th)                               64(8th)  
Ben Grant                                              +4                                 57(11th)                              61(9th)
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        +4                                 52(13th)                              56(12th)

Points only predictions:

King Of Knaves 63(8th)
Beef Pilgrim 56(12th)
Bartmac 54(12th)
Noughty Forties -8 off last play-off place (69 on last season - 7th)
DT Woodhall 55-61(9th-12th)
John Chapman 62(9th)
Daniel Lambert 69(7th)

Placing in brackets are based on last season. Here are last years placings and points. I have averaged the points per game and multiplied by 2 and added to the total to get a 42 game total(rounding up to the nearest point) e.g. 1st Alfreton 92 + 4.6 = 96.6 rounded up to 97

1st 97
2nd 87
3rd 83
4th 77
5th 77
6th 76
7th 68
8th 63
9th 61
10th 60
11th 57
12th 53
13th 52
14th 50
15th 49
16th 49
17th 48
18th 44
19th 38
20th 34
21st 10
22nd N/A
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Tipps End Pilgrim on January 13, 2012, 07:36:44 AM
Woad you missed my points prediction from the thread - 69.

DL
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Ed Kandi on January 18, 2012, 10:22:51 AM
A win at home to Nuneaton is what I'm hoping for, but realistically, a draw would be a good result  :-\
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on January 22, 2012, 10:44:55 AM
Apologies to DL have now added his prediction. Also updated to take in the Nunny match.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on January 28, 2012, 09:39:20 PM
Updated. WYP spot on so far points-wise. Not many correct result predictions though.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on February 08, 2012, 10:11:12 AM
Updated for Colwyn result.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on February 22, 2012, 10:10:04 AM
Updated for VM.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on February 26, 2012, 09:17:59 AM
Updated for Gloucester
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on March 04, 2012, 10:03:49 PM
Updated for Worcester, not much difference as all but 2 predicted a defeat.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on March 11, 2012, 10:43:15 AM
Updated for Stalybridge
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on March 13, 2012, 12:38:35 PM
Updated for Hinckley, one more win required for Cardiff Pilgrim's total  :)
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on March 18, 2012, 10:04:23 AM
Updated for Altrincham.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on March 25, 2012, 08:24:51 PM
Updated for Droylesden
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on March 25, 2012, 08:25:43 PM
After the first game of the new RPT season the table is:-


   Predictionist                             Points Total

wayne, york pilgrim                                3
woad_pilgrim                                         0
chris b                                                 0
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               0
Sussex Pilgrim                                       0
myleftfoot                                            0
Ed Kandi                                              0
Ben Grant                                             0
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        0

A low scoring start, but its still all to play for   :dan
Updated and reposted to put it on the current page  :)

How about:

   Predictionist                             Points differential           Predicted total

wayne, york pilgrim                                 -3                                  57                                  
woad_pilgrim                                         -19                                  73
chris b                                                  0                                  54
Mickey Nuttell's Hair                               -1                                  55
Sussex Pilgrim                                        -1                                  55
myleftfoot                                            -15                                  69    
Ed Kandi                                              -18                                  72    
Ben Grant                                              -3                                 57
Cardiff Pilgrim                                        +2                                 52

Points only predictions:

King Of Knaves 63  -9
Beef Pilgrim 56  -2
Bartmac 54
Noughty Forties -8 off last play-off place
DT Woodhall 55-61  -1(55) to -7(61)
John Chapman 62 -8
Daniel Lambert 69 -15

Placing in brackets are based on last season. Here are last years placings and points. I have averaged the points per game and multiplied by 2 and added to the total to get a 42 game total(rounding up to the nearest point) e.g. 1st Alfreton 92 + 4.6 = 96.6 rounded up to 97

1st 97
2nd 87
3rd 83
4th 77
5th 77
6th 76
7th 68
8th 63
9th 61
10th 60
11th 57
12th 53
13th 52
14th 50
15th 49
16th 49
17th 48
18th 44
19th 38
20th 34
21st 10
22nd N/A
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on April 10, 2012, 10:00:20 PM
Updated for Worcester, Gloucester, Harrogate and Halifax.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: woad_pilgrim on May 29, 2012, 10:58:40 PM
Final update. I've got no problem saying I was way off, let's hope for a better upcoming season.
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Mickey Nuttells Hair on May 30, 2012, 11:49:46 AM
I've got no problem in being very disappointed in being only 1 point off! :o(

As you say WP, let's hope for better ahead!
Title: Re: Realistic points total
Post by: Keynsham Pilgrim on May 30, 2012, 06:19:45 PM
I'm also disappointed with them getting only 2 over my prediction after getting to my prediction in March